Thursday, December 28, 2006
Friday, December 22, 2006
Thursday, December 21, 2006
Edwards, Obama Tied In New Iowa Poll
Democrats
Barack Obama 22%
John Edwards 22%
Tom Vilsack 12%
Hillary Clinton 10%
Barack Obama 22%
John Edwards 22%
Tom Vilsack 12%
Hillary Clinton 10%
Wednesday, December 20, 2006
Tuesday, December 19, 2006
Clinton Has 7 Point Lead Over McCain In New Newsweek Poll
A new Newsweek poll shows Sem. Hillary Clinton has opened a 7 point lead over
Sen. John McCain in a head-to-head matchup for the 2008 presidential election.
Clinton Has 7 Point Lead Over McCain In New Newsweek Poll
Monday, December 18, 2006
Sunday, December 17, 2006
Saturday, December 16, 2006
Edwards To Announce After Christmas In New Orleans
Former Sen. John Edwards, who was on the 2004 Democratic ticket as the
vice presidential nominee, will announce for the 2008 Democratic
presidential nomination just after Christmas in New Orleans. Edwards
will make his announcement in the 9th Ward of New Orleans one of the
most devastated areas after Hurricane Katrina.
Edwards To Announce After Christmas In New Orleans
vice presidential nominee, will announce for the 2008 Democratic
presidential nomination just after Christmas in New Orleans. Edwards
will make his announcement in the 9th Ward of New Orleans one of the
most devastated areas after Hurricane Katrina.
Edwards To Announce After Christmas In New Orleans
Bayh Drops Out Of 2008 Race
Sen. Evan Bayh is the latest to drop out of the race for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination. Bayh Drops Out Of 2008 Race
Friday, December 15, 2006
Thursday, December 14, 2006
Wednesday, December 13, 2006
Tuesday, December 12, 2006
Monday, December 11, 2006
Kucinich To Run Again
In the midst of a brief chat in his office last week, Representative
Dennis J. Kucinich mentioned that, oh, by the way, he planned to run
for president again in 2008.
A Familiar Democrat Joins ’08 Hopefuls
Dennis J. Kucinich mentioned that, oh, by the way, he planned to run
for president again in 2008.
A Familiar Democrat Joins ’08 Hopefuls
Jeb Bush Opens Door To 2008 Run
The conservative news site NewsMax reports that Florida Gov. Jeb Bush
opened the door to the possibility of a 2008 run for president. In the
interview published Monday, Bush told chief Washington correspondent
Ronald Kessler he was not ruling out a run in 2008 and did not know
what the future might hold...
http://bluesunbelt.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=52
opened the door to the possibility of a 2008 run for president. In the
interview published Monday, Bush told chief Washington correspondent
Ronald Kessler he was not ruling out a run in 2008 and did not know
what the future might hold...
http://bluesunbelt.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=52
Sunday, December 10, 2006
Friday, December 08, 2006
Thursday, December 07, 2006
Wednesday, December 06, 2006
2008 Candidates With The Most Cash
As becomes more clear with each election, money is a key factor in winning public office.
So, we wondered, who's leading the money game this early in the campaign?
Turns out the answer was pretty easy to find.
The Center for Responsive Politics has a chart on the 2008 presidential hopefuls who recently ran for federal office, as well as those who will be leaving state offices behind to run for the White House.
Among those who have run for a federal office recently or have a PAC (or both), Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry leads the way with $14.38 million available between his campaign funds and his PAC, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is No. 2 at $13.99 million and Sen. Evan Bayh of Indiana is third at $11.18 million.
Among Republicans, Arizona Sen. John McCain leads the pack at $1.5 million.
Of course, Kerry still has money left from his presidential bid and Clinton just ran a Senate race, so that puts them at an advantage.
Among the governors running for president, Republican George Pataki of New York has the most money in his PAC at $932,000.
Posted by Ron Vallo
WHO HAS THE MOST CASH FOR '08As becomes more cle...
So, we wondered, who's leading the money game this early in the campaign?
Turns out the answer was pretty easy to find.
The Center for Responsive Politics has a chart on the 2008 presidential hopefuls who recently ran for federal office, as well as those who will be leaving state offices behind to run for the White House.
Among those who have run for a federal office recently or have a PAC (or both), Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry leads the way with $14.38 million available between his campaign funds and his PAC, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is No. 2 at $13.99 million and Sen. Evan Bayh of Indiana is third at $11.18 million.
Among Republicans, Arizona Sen. John McCain leads the pack at $1.5 million.
Of course, Kerry still has money left from his presidential bid and Clinton just ran a Senate race, so that puts them at an advantage.
Among the governors running for president, Republican George Pataki of New York has the most money in his PAC at $932,000.
Posted by Ron Vallo
WHO HAS THE MOST CASH FOR '08As becomes more cle...
Patti Doyle To Be Clinton Campaign Manager
The latest move is the choice of
longtime adviser Patti Solis Doyle as campaign manager. That follows
the recent recruitment of three seasoned political operatives who, if
she runs, would play key roles on what is now a rapidly expanding
Clinton campaign organization.
The three are Jonathan Mantz, who
has been working for New Jersey Gov. Jon S. Corzine (D), as finance
director; Phil Singer, who was communications director for the
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, as a communications
strategist; and Karen Hicks, who ran former Vermont governor Howard
Dean's New Hampshire operation in 2004, to oversee organizing,
particularly in the early states. Patti Doyle To Be Clinton Campaign Manager
Kucinich Might Run Again
"With the field of potential Democratic presidential candidates
growing, word on Capitol Hill today was that" Rep. Dennis Kucinich
(D-OH) "might get in," the Cleveland Plain Dealer
reports. "Whether that would mean he'd start an exploratory committee,
or simply announce his candidacy, or do nothing, is unclear."Kucinich Might Run Again
growing, word on Capitol Hill today was that" Rep. Dennis Kucinich
(D-OH) "might get in," the Cleveland Plain Dealer
reports. "Whether that would mean he'd start an exploratory committee,
or simply announce his candidacy, or do nothing, is unclear."Kucinich Might Run Again
Tuesday, December 05, 2006
Rumors Allard May Resign
We present this with the grain of salt appropriate for a totally unconfirmed and seemingly improbable rumor.
It has been suggested that Sen. Wayne Allard may resign his Senate seat in the next three weeks to make way for an appointed replacement by outgoing Governor Bill Owens (R).
Potential replacements are the usual Republican suspects mentioned in
the Big Line (left), including--and we're not making this up--Bill Owens.
Enough well-placed people have mentioned it that we felt obligated to
report it. It would be an eyebrow-raising maneuver to say the least,
and we're pretty sure the Owens self-appointment part is meant to be a
joke.
| Allard to Resign? |
Clinton Gets First Major Endorsement In New Hampshire
Sen. Hillary Clinton got her first major endorsement in New Hampshire today from a longtime political veteran who supported Howard Dean in 2004.
Veteran New Hampshire political operative Rep. Jim Splaine, state
represenative of Portsmoth and Newington, strongly endorsed a Hillary
Clinton candidacy in his NH Insider blog today. Splaine, sponsor of New
Hampshire's First In The Nation primary legislation, has been involved
in the presidential campaigns of a number of candidates over the years
including John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, Bobby Kennedy, George
McGovern, Sargent Shriver, Ted Kennedy, Walter Mondale, Jessie Jackson,
Bill Clinton, Al Gore, and Howard Dean. More
Veteran New Hampshire political operative Rep. Jim Splaine, state
represenative of Portsmoth and Newington, strongly endorsed a Hillary
Clinton candidacy in his NH Insider blog today. Splaine, sponsor of New
Hampshire's First In The Nation primary legislation, has been involved
in the presidential campaigns of a number of candidates over the years
including John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, Bobby Kennedy, George
McGovern, Sargent Shriver, Ted Kennedy, Walter Mondale, Jessie Jackson,
Bill Clinton, Al Gore, and Howard Dean. More
Monday, December 04, 2006
Sunday, December 03, 2006
Hagel May Be In Best Position In GOP Field
If the Iraq war continues to be a leading issue in the 2008 presidential campaign, Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel could be in the best position among Republican hopefuls, argues David Ignatius of the Washington Post.
Bayh In, Daschle Out, Clinton Gearing Up
Bayh In, Daschle Out, Clinton Gearing Up
Quick ranking of presidential contenders 2008
There's been some activity in the last week, with Tom Vilsack, Evan Bayh and Hillary Clinton - finally - announcing their intentions to seek the presidency in 2008.
Bayh probably doesn't have a chance, he's running because people close to him have been telling him to run for so long that he's forgotten what an unknown he is outside the world of wonkdom.
Hillary is of course in the top tier of Democratic candidates for 2008, but something tells me she isn't going to make it. Vilsack is interesting, keep your eye on him.
All of them right now are holding their breath to see if Obama runs. Right now that guy holds all the cards. I have zilch-o contacts in Illinois politics and certainly no contact with anyone even vaguely close to him. But every Democratic fundraiser and politician I know is excited about him, and I know a pretty wideranging bunch, from Blue Dog types here in Texas to old black power types in KC to congressional staffers in DC. There's a lot of legitimate, non-hype grassroots interest around Obama right now and not all of it is there as part of some campaign to sell his book. And my own opinion? He's the strongest candidate either party could field right now.
The question mark hanging over him is why we get the vague stuff from Clinton right now, nothing out of the Richardson camp, and only insulated senate ego trips like Kerry, Bayh and Edwards making white house noises. It's also why we're not hearing much from a Democratic governor that a source tells me would love to make a run. I'm holding off on naming him now because I was promised more info if I held off for now, but his name has been floated as a potential candidate before. Anyway, if Obama decides not to run you are going to see the Democratic field broaden considerably.
As a final note, I am adding the clown George Pataki to the GOP side. Earlier I mentioned ego cases - Pataki could set that bar.
DEMS
Barack Obama (IL) 100
Wes Clark (AR) 89
Hillary Clinton (NY) 56 (+1)
John Edwards (NC) 54
Bill Richardson (NM) 47
Tom Vilsack (IA) 45 (+1)
John Murtha (PA) 33
Al Gore (TN) 24
Tom Daschle (SD) 20
Joe Biden (DE) 16
Evan Bayh (IN) 16 (+1)
John Kerry (MA) 14
Mike Gravel (AK) 10
GOP
Condoleeza Rice (CA) 79
Haley Barbour (MS) 79
Mitt Romney (MA) 74
Tim Pawlenty (MN) 70
Tom Tancredo (CO) 46
Rudy Giuliani (NY) 32
John McCain (AZ) 26
Fred Thompson (TN) 23
Chuck Hagel (NE) 20
Mike Huckabee (AR) 19
Duncan Hunter (CA) 19
Sam Brownback (KS) 19
Tom Coburn (OK) 16
Newt Gingrich (GA) 11
Tommy Thompson (WI) 10
George Pataki (NY) 7
posted by Compost Books
Quick ranking of presidential contenders 2008
Bayh probably doesn't have a chance, he's running because people close to him have been telling him to run for so long that he's forgotten what an unknown he is outside the world of wonkdom.
Hillary is of course in the top tier of Democratic candidates for 2008, but something tells me she isn't going to make it. Vilsack is interesting, keep your eye on him.
All of them right now are holding their breath to see if Obama runs. Right now that guy holds all the cards. I have zilch-o contacts in Illinois politics and certainly no contact with anyone even vaguely close to him. But every Democratic fundraiser and politician I know is excited about him, and I know a pretty wideranging bunch, from Blue Dog types here in Texas to old black power types in KC to congressional staffers in DC. There's a lot of legitimate, non-hype grassroots interest around Obama right now and not all of it is there as part of some campaign to sell his book. And my own opinion? He's the strongest candidate either party could field right now.
The question mark hanging over him is why we get the vague stuff from Clinton right now, nothing out of the Richardson camp, and only insulated senate ego trips like Kerry, Bayh and Edwards making white house noises. It's also why we're not hearing much from a Democratic governor that a source tells me would love to make a run. I'm holding off on naming him now because I was promised more info if I held off for now, but his name has been floated as a potential candidate before. Anyway, if Obama decides not to run you are going to see the Democratic field broaden considerably.
As a final note, I am adding the clown George Pataki to the GOP side. Earlier I mentioned ego cases - Pataki could set that bar.
DEMS
Barack Obama (IL) 100
Wes Clark (AR) 89
Hillary Clinton (NY) 56 (+1)
John Edwards (NC) 54
Bill Richardson (NM) 47
Tom Vilsack (IA) 45 (+1)
John Murtha (PA) 33
Al Gore (TN) 24
Tom Daschle (SD) 20
Joe Biden (DE) 16
Evan Bayh (IN) 16 (+1)
John Kerry (MA) 14
Mike Gravel (AK) 10
GOP
Condoleeza Rice (CA) 79
Haley Barbour (MS) 79
Mitt Romney (MA) 74
Tim Pawlenty (MN) 70
Tom Tancredo (CO) 46
Rudy Giuliani (NY) 32
John McCain (AZ) 26
Fred Thompson (TN) 23
Chuck Hagel (NE) 20
Mike Huckabee (AR) 19
Duncan Hunter (CA) 19
Sam Brownback (KS) 19
Tom Coburn (OK) 16
Newt Gingrich (GA) 11
Tommy Thompson (WI) 10
George Pataki (NY) 7
posted by Compost Books
Quick ranking of presidential contenders 2008
Saturday, December 02, 2006
Handicapping the Presidential Race - Democrats
A caveat, I am lousy at making presidential predictions. In 1974, I didn’t foresee an obscure governor from Georgia would be elected in 1976. I thought Walter Mondale would defeat Reagan in 1984. I predicted failure for the inarticulate, alcoholic son of a failed president in 2000.
Hillary Clinton (sen-NY) - 6 to 1
Leads the early polls with 33%. There is a huge anyone-but-Hillary movement (of which I am a member) but she has the best organization of anyone in the race, is a strong campaigner, and benefits from the financial advantages senators have. I will be disappointed if she wins the nomination, but not surprised.
Brian Schweitzer (gov-MO) - 7 to 1
This is a dark horse who isn’t mentioned on any of the polls. He is a successful western governor from a western, presumptively red state. My, albeit western, opinion is that the chances of a long term shift to a Democratic majority lies in making the western states blue. Nominating a western governor could make that happen.
Barack Obama (sen-IL) - 8 to 1
Second in the most recent poll (15%). He has more charisma than every other potential candidate combined. He has a John Kennedy aura about him. The question is whether he can maintain the charm for another 18 months.
John Edwards (SC) - 9 to 1
Last season’s charmer. His biggest flaw is he has no natural base to work from. Polling 14%
Wesley Clark (IL) - 10 to 1
The man with the military creds. If national security is a big 2008 issue, Clark will benefit the most. He has honed his media skills the past two years. Polling 4%.
Al Gore (TN) - 12 to 1
My choice. My man. The man who should have been president. His biggest flaw in 2000 was his image as a wooden politician. He has developed a vibrant speaking skill since then. I don’t know why he isn’t polling better than 14%.
Bill Richardson (gov-NM) - 15 to 1, Carl Levin (sen-MI) - 20 to 1
We are getting into the long-shots. Richardson (3%) wants to be president and virtually nobody has noticed. Levin doesn’t want to run but has a presidential bearing.
Gary Hart (CO), John Kerry (sen-MA) , Tom Daschle (SD), Joe Biden (sen-DE) - 25 to 1 each
The old warhorses. Hart has been out of politics for a generation. Kerry (7%) is personality impaired. Daschle is forgotten. Biden (3%) has been running for president since Lincoln. Nominating any of them is giving up on the general election.
Evan Bayh (sen-IN), Chris Dodd (sen-CT) Tom Vilsack (gov-IA) - 99 to 1
Mike Gravel (AK) - 999 to 1
No hope. They are running out of ego.
Sources: CNN polling data, wikipedia
Handicapping the Presidential Race - Democrats
Hillary Clinton (sen-NY) - 6 to 1
Leads the early polls with 33%. There is a huge anyone-but-Hillary movement (of which I am a member) but she has the best organization of anyone in the race, is a strong campaigner, and benefits from the financial advantages senators have. I will be disappointed if she wins the nomination, but not surprised.
Brian Schweitzer (gov-MO) - 7 to 1
This is a dark horse who isn’t mentioned on any of the polls. He is a successful western governor from a western, presumptively red state. My, albeit western, opinion is that the chances of a long term shift to a Democratic majority lies in making the western states blue. Nominating a western governor could make that happen.
Barack Obama (sen-IL) - 8 to 1
Second in the most recent poll (15%). He has more charisma than every other potential candidate combined. He has a John Kennedy aura about him. The question is whether he can maintain the charm for another 18 months.
John Edwards (SC) - 9 to 1
Last season’s charmer. His biggest flaw is he has no natural base to work from. Polling 14%
Wesley Clark (IL) - 10 to 1
The man with the military creds. If national security is a big 2008 issue, Clark will benefit the most. He has honed his media skills the past two years. Polling 4%.
Al Gore (TN) - 12 to 1
My choice. My man. The man who should have been president. His biggest flaw in 2000 was his image as a wooden politician. He has developed a vibrant speaking skill since then. I don’t know why he isn’t polling better than 14%.
Bill Richardson (gov-NM) - 15 to 1, Carl Levin (sen-MI) - 20 to 1
We are getting into the long-shots. Richardson (3%) wants to be president and virtually nobody has noticed. Levin doesn’t want to run but has a presidential bearing.
Gary Hart (CO), John Kerry (sen-MA) , Tom Daschle (SD), Joe Biden (sen-DE) - 25 to 1 each
The old warhorses. Hart has been out of politics for a generation. Kerry (7%) is personality impaired. Daschle is forgotten. Biden (3%) has been running for president since Lincoln. Nominating any of them is giving up on the general election.
Evan Bayh (sen-IN), Chris Dodd (sen-CT) Tom Vilsack (gov-IA) - 99 to 1
Mike Gravel (AK) - 999 to 1
No hope. They are running out of ego.
Sources: CNN polling data, wikipedia
Handicapping the Presidential Race - Democrats
Strategists seek keys to 2008 presidential election
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The votes have barely been counted from the midterm elections, but political professionals from both parties are already picking their candidates and focusing on how to win the presidency in 2008.
Top Democratic strategists on Thursday said firm plans for handling Iraq, tackling rising health costs and addressing other middle-class economic worries would be key to winning the nomination and the presidency in 2008. Their Republican counterparts argued that a return to conservative principles - and a candidate's ability to distance himself from Washington - would prove crucial to GOP hopes of holding the White House.
When examining the lessons of the 2006 midterms, Republicans "really have to look beyond what happened to the president as the result of the war in Iraq and look at what happened to the Republican brand. There are three legs to the stool ... social conservatism, fiscal conservatism and national defense," said GOP pollster Jan van Lohuizen, in a panel discussion at a forum sponsored by the University of Virginia's Center for Politics and the Hotline, a political news service.
In a separate panel discussion, media consultant Steve Murphy said Democrats will be able to hold their majority in Congress and capture the White House if they remain focused on addressing the concerns of the middle class.
While Republican strategists say they underplayed the economy, particularly the rallying stock market, in the run-up to the midterms, middle class voters were actually fed up with stagnant wage growth and rising health care costs despite soaring corporate profits, said Smith, who represented New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, a potential Democratic presidential candidate, in the panel discussion.
The 2008 presidential election promises to be a wide-open affair for both parties. For the first time since 1928, neither a sitting president nor vice president is seeking his party's nomination.
Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack is the first candidate officially out of the gate on the Democratic side. But Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York is seen exploring a run and is viewed as a potential frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. Other Democrats expected to test the water include retired Gen. Wesley Clark, former senator and 2004 vice presidential nominee John Edwards, and Sens. Chris Dodd of Connecticut, Evan Bayh of Indiana and Joe Biden of Delaware.
On the GOP side, likely candidates include Sen. John McCain of Arizona, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, and Sen. Sam Brownback of Kansas. Outgoing Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist of Tennessee announced this week that he wouldn't seek the GOP nomination in 2008.
GOP strategist Rich Galen, who served as an aide to former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, said that as a result of the anti-incumbent atmosphere of 2006, none of the 2008 candidates are likely to run as political insiders who know how to make Washington work.
Galen quipped that he half-expected a candidate to "set up a campaign headquarters on Guam" in order to distance himself as far away as possible from the Beltway.
William L. Watts is a reporter for MarketWatch.
Strategists seek keys to 2008 presidential election
Top Democratic strategists on Thursday said firm plans for handling Iraq, tackling rising health costs and addressing other middle-class economic worries would be key to winning the nomination and the presidency in 2008. Their Republican counterparts argued that a return to conservative principles - and a candidate's ability to distance himself from Washington - would prove crucial to GOP hopes of holding the White House.
When examining the lessons of the 2006 midterms, Republicans "really have to look beyond what happened to the president as the result of the war in Iraq and look at what happened to the Republican brand. There are three legs to the stool ... social conservatism, fiscal conservatism and national defense," said GOP pollster Jan van Lohuizen, in a panel discussion at a forum sponsored by the University of Virginia's Center for Politics and the Hotline, a political news service.
In a separate panel discussion, media consultant Steve Murphy said Democrats will be able to hold their majority in Congress and capture the White House if they remain focused on addressing the concerns of the middle class.
While Republican strategists say they underplayed the economy, particularly the rallying stock market, in the run-up to the midterms, middle class voters were actually fed up with stagnant wage growth and rising health care costs despite soaring corporate profits, said Smith, who represented New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, a potential Democratic presidential candidate, in the panel discussion.
The 2008 presidential election promises to be a wide-open affair for both parties. For the first time since 1928, neither a sitting president nor vice president is seeking his party's nomination.
Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack is the first candidate officially out of the gate on the Democratic side. But Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York is seen exploring a run and is viewed as a potential frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. Other Democrats expected to test the water include retired Gen. Wesley Clark, former senator and 2004 vice presidential nominee John Edwards, and Sens. Chris Dodd of Connecticut, Evan Bayh of Indiana and Joe Biden of Delaware.
On the GOP side, likely candidates include Sen. John McCain of Arizona, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, and Sen. Sam Brownback of Kansas. Outgoing Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist of Tennessee announced this week that he wouldn't seek the GOP nomination in 2008.
GOP strategist Rich Galen, who served as an aide to former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, said that as a result of the anti-incumbent atmosphere of 2006, none of the 2008 candidates are likely to run as political insiders who know how to make Washington work.
Galen quipped that he half-expected a candidate to "set up a campaign headquarters on Guam" in order to distance himself as far away as possible from the Beltway.
William L. Watts is a reporter for MarketWatch.
Strategists seek keys to 2008 presidential election
Friday, December 01, 2006
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